HomeEcology & Conservation BiologyBlossom Frost Risk: Orchard Pollination Window

Blossom Frost Risk: Orchard Pollination Window

Interactive 2D simulator: fruit-tree bloom timing emerges from accumulated winter chill-hours followed by spring growing-degree-days, then every day of the resulting bloom window is checked against a frost-damage threshold and a bee-flight threshold to find the season's real successful pollination days.

Ecology & Conservation Biology2DModerate60 FPS📱 Mobile-adapted⇄ 3D version
2d-trees-for-bees-fruit-and-ornamental-species ↗ Open standalone

This 2D model derives fruit-tree bloom timing from first principles instead of a fixed calendar curve: a full year of simulated daily temperature is accumulated first as winter chill-hours (hours spent between 0°C and 7.2°C) until dormancy breaks, then as spring growing-degree-days above a 4.5°C base until the bloom threshold is reached. Every day inside the resulting bloom window is then checked against a frost-damage threshold and a bee-flight temperature threshold, so a day only counts as a successful pollination day when both hold — bees flying and no frost that morning. Winter-severity and spring-warming-rate sliders shift when the window opens; a day-to-day climate-variability slider adds realistic weather noise on top, and the built-in sweep tool replays dozens of seasons per variability level to show, directly from the simulated calendar, that greater variability reduces the number of successful pollination days even when the average climate is unchanged.

⚙ Under the hood

Five UK bee-forage tree groups bloom on their real seasonal windows while a stochastic spring-frost model strikes on some mornings, permanently cutting into each species' blossom count and the season's cumulative nectar and fruit-set potential.

ecologypollinationbeesorchardfrost-riskphenology

2D · HTML5 Canvas 2D · 60 FPS target · runs fully client-side, no install

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