UFO "Effects" & Pollution: Correlation vs Causation
Interactive confound-analysis simulator: a claimed physiological effect and alleged UFO sighting reports both rise with local pollution. Watch the raw correlation between them collapse into near-zero once you control for the lurking pollution variable — a live partial-correlation demonstration.
A claimed physiological effect and alleged UFO sighting reports both climb together across locations — a correlation strong enough to look causal at a glance. This simulator generates both from a shared, measured cause: local pollution. Pollution alone drives up both the physiological score and the sighting rate, with no direct link between them at all. Watch the raw correlation coefficient stay stubbornly high while the partial correlation — the same relationship after mathematically controlling for pollution — collapses toward zero. It's a live, adjustable demonstration of why "X and Y are correlated" is never enough to conclude "X causes Y," and why checking for a lurking confound is the first move in any real causal analysis.
Explore how a shared environmental factor can create an illusion of causation between pollution levels and UFO sightings.
2D · HTML5 Canvas 2D · 60 FPS target · runs fully client-side, no install