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🔥 Shingrix Vaccine Efficacy Simulator

This simulation models the efficacy of the recombinant Shingrix vaccine (two doses) against postherpetic neuralgia and herpes zoster, depending on patient age and immune status.

Shingles (Herpes Zoster) & Mononucleosis2DModerate60 FPS
shingrix-vaccine-efficacy-simulator ↗ Open standalone

Dose 1 — Priming the Immune System

The first injection introduces the response.

  • Recombinant: Vaccine type (gE antigen + AS01B adjuvant)
  • IM: Route (deltoid muscle)
  • 0%: Baseline titer (pre-vaccination)
  • AS01B: Adjuvant (liposome-based)

What happens at dose 1

Placeholder: dose 1 introduces antigen and adjuvant to trigger priming.

Initial Immune Response Building

Titers rise over the first weeks after dose 1.

  • ~Week 4: Peak (dose 1) (partial response)
  • CD4+ T-cell: Response type (plus antibody titer)
  • Partial: Protection level (single-dose only)
  • ~Month 2: Decline onset (without dose 2)

Why response builds gradually

Placeholder: response builds gradually as immune cells expand and differentiate.

Dose 2 Timing Window — 2 to 6 Months

Giving dose 2 within this window is critical for efficacy.

  • Month 2: Window opens (earliest allowed)
  • Month 6: Window closes (label guidance)
  • Still valid: Late dosing (no need to restart series)
  • Lower boost: Missed window risk (reduced anamnestic peak)

Why timing matters

Placeholder: the window balances priming maturity against waning response.

Dose 2 Boost Response

The second dose drives a much sharper titer spike.

  • ~3–4×: Boost magnitude (vs. dose 1 peak)
  • ~4 weeks post-dose 2: Peak timing (anamnestic response)
  • ~97%: Zoster efficacy (immunocompetent adults)
  • ~91%: PHN efficacy (immunocompetent adults)

Anamnestic boosting mechanism

Placeholder: memory cells from dose 1 drive a faster, larger second response.

Sustained Protection and Immune Status Impact

Long-term titers and efficacy differ by immune status.

  • ~10 years: Duration studied (follow-up data)
  • ~90%+: Immunocompetent efficacy (through year 4)
  • ~68–87%: Immunocompromised efficacy (varies by condition)
  • Slow: Titer decline rate (gradual waning)

Immune status effect on durability

Placeholder: immunocompromised patients show a lower, faster-waning titer curve.

Placeholder: monitoring and possible revaccination guidance may apply.
⚙ Under the hood

This simulation models the efficacy of the recombinant Shingrix vaccine (two doses) against postherpetic neuralgia and herpes zoster, depending on patient age and immune status.

CanvasBiomedicine

2D · HTML5 Canvas 2D · 60 FPS target · runs fully client-side, no install

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