🌋 Volcano Failure Forecast: Inverse Event Rate and Voight Law (2D)

Side view of a volcano whose swarm of small earthquakes speeds up as magma rises, with the rate of events plotted against time and its inverse extrapolated to zero to forecast the day of eruption. Set the true eruption time, the starting rate, the Voight exponent, the scatter of the counts and the share of the record used in the fit, and see how far the forecast is from the truth. The Voight law, the straight-line inverse rate, the generalised exponent and the noise ensemble are checked numerically, with four in-page numerical checks.

2D · HTML5 Canvas 2D · 60 FPS target · runs fully client-side, no install