⚖️ Wind and Solar Forecast Error: Reserve Sizing, Newsvendor Critical Fractile and Imbalance Cost (3D Fleet and Balance Scale)
3D reserve-sizing lab: correlated forecast errors of eight wind and solar sites, the sqrt-N smoothing effect, Monte Carlo, and the newsvendor critical-fractile reserve with imbalance and capacity prices.
⚙ Under the hood
3D reserve-sizing lab in a Blender fleet scene: correlated forecast errors of eight wind and solar sites, sqrt-N smoothing, Monte Carlo and the newsvendor critical-fractile reserve with imbalance and capacity prices.
forecast errorreserve sizingnewsvendorimbalance costwind solar smoothing
3D · Three.js / WebGL renderer · 60 FPS target · runs fully client-side, no install