About IS-LM Economic Model
The IS-LM model, developed by John Hicks and Alvin Hansen in 1937 as a formalisation of Keynes's General Theory, depicts the simultaneous equilibrium of two markets: the goods market (IS curve) and the money market (LM curve). The IS curve traces combinations of real interest rate and GDP where investment equals saving; the LM curve traces combinations where money demand equals money supply. Their intersection determines the short-run equilibrium level of output and the interest rate.
The IS curve slopes downward: higher interest rates reduce investment spending, lowering equilibrium output. Fiscal policy (government spending or tax cuts) shifts the IS curve rightward, raising output and interest rates. The LM curve slopes upward: higher output increases money demand; with fixed money supply, interest rates must rise to restore money market equilibrium. Monetary policy (increasing money supply) shifts the LM curve rightward, lowering interest rates and raising output.
The IS-LM model is a simplified Keynesian macroeconomic framework used to analyse policy interactions. It highlights the crowding-out effect: fiscal expansion raises interest rates, which partially offsets the stimulus by reducing private investment. It also shows the liquidity trap: when interest rates reach zero (LM is flat), monetary policy cannot lower them further, making fiscal policy the only effective demand stimulus. The model was extended to the open economy by Mundell and Fleming.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the IS curve represent?
The IS curve represents combinations of the real interest rate and GDP at which the goods market is in equilibrium (investment equals saving, or equivalently, aggregate expenditure equals output). It slopes downward because lower interest rates stimulate investment, raising equilibrium output.
What shifts the IS curve?
The IS curve shifts rightward with: increased government spending, tax cuts, higher consumer confidence (more consumption), increased investment optimism, or higher export demand. It shifts leftward with fiscal consolidation, lower confidence, or a fall in exports. Each shift changes the equilibrium output at every interest rate level.
What is the liquidity trap?
A liquidity trap occurs when interest rates are at or near zero and monetary policy loses its effectiveness. At very low rates, people prefer to hold money (liquidity) rather than bonds because they expect interest rates to rise (bond prices to fall). In this situation, increasing the money supply does not lower interest rates further, and monetary stimulus has no effect on output — a situation Keynes described and that reoccurred during the 2008 crisis and the COVID-19 recession.
What is the crowding-out effect?
When fiscal policy raises government spending (shifting IS right), equilibrium output and interest rates both rise. The higher interest rates reduce private investment and consumption, partially offsetting the fiscal stimulus. This is crowding out — government borrowing displaces private spending. In the extreme classical case (vertical LM), full crowding out occurs and fiscal policy has no net effect on output.
How does the IS-LM model apply to open economies?
The Mundell-Fleming model extends IS-LM to an open economy with international capital flows and a balance of payments constraint. Under fixed exchange rates and perfect capital mobility, fiscal policy is very effective (no crowding out because the exchange rate is fixed) while monetary policy is ineffective (money supply changes are offset by capital flows). Under floating rates, monetary policy is effective and fiscal policy is largely crowded out by exchange rate appreciation.