Information Cascades (2D): Bayesian Herding Explorer

Signal & speed

Signal accuracy p 0.75

Auto-play speed 4 a/s

Run

▶ Step

⏵ Play

👁 Reveal

↺ Reshuffle

Live readout

Agents

0 / 50

Tally A − B

Cascade status

none — agents follow own signal

Cascade correct?

hidden until reveal

How the model works

Each agent draws a private signal that matches the hidden true restaurant with probability p. Once the running public tally of choices leans by 2 or more toward one option, that "imputed vote" outweighs any single private signal, so every later agent rationally herds — even if the cascade is wrong.