The Carrington Event - 2D cross-sectionSwitch to 3D

Solar wind / CME

Readouts (peak storm)

Standoff distance r0
Dayside pressure
Geosync ring (6.6 Re)
Kp index
Aurora to mag. latitude
Dst (illustrative)
Ground E-field
Line voltage
Transit time
Phase

Checks

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The science

A CME is a magnetised plasma cloud. The Earth's field holds it off where the solar-wind ram pressure balances the magnetic pressure of the compressed dipole (Chapman-Ferraro):

ρv² = (2 Beq (RE/r0)³)² / 2μ0 → r0/RE = (2 Beq² / μ0ρv²)1/6, with Beq = 31 µT and ρ = n mp. Quiet wind gives about 10 RE; a Carrington-class pulse about 4-5 RE, inside the geosynchronous orbit at 6.6 RE.

The boundary shape is the Shue form r(θ) = r0 (2/(1+cosθ))0.6. Kp, aurora latitude and transit time use the same mappings as the 3D lab: Kp = 3 + 6s, latitude = 78 - 60s degrees, transit 90 h to 15 h, where s = (v-500)/2700.

Ground currents: for a plane wave over uniform ground, E = Z H = √(ωμ0ρg) · B/μ0, and the voltage along a line is V = E L. Dst is a simple illustrative scaling (-30 - 870 s nT), not a forecast model.

Simplifications: no IMF Bz coupling, a 2D meridian slice, uniform ground, simplified bow shock. Not a space-weather forecasting tool.