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📐 Surrogate Model Explorer

Hide true f(λ)
RMSE
Max error ‖f−ŝ‖∞
Samples used
How it works ▾
The ghost wireframe is a hidden true objective f(λ) over two hyperparameters (e.g. log learning-rate, log regularization). The n gold spheres are noisy observations of it. The solid colored surface is a kernel-weighted surrogate: ŝ(λ) = Σᵢ wᵢ(λ)yᵢ / Σᵢ wᵢ(λ), wᵢ(λ) = exp(−‖λ−λᵢ‖² / 2ℓ²) Surface color encodes pointwise error ε(λ) = |f(λ) − ŝ(λ)| (green = accurate, red = poor). Lengthscale ℓ trades bias for variance: too small and ŝ chases noise between sparse points (high variance); too large and it oversmooths real structure (high bias) — MSE = Bias² + Variance. More observations shrink both, and for smooth f the uniform error falls roughly as ‖f − ŝ‖∞ = O(n^−α). Noise σ corrupts each observed value, the direct analogue of a stochastic/expensive objective in real hyperparameter search.
observation
ŝ error
true f(λ)
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