In waterlogged wetland sediment, oxygen is absent below a few millimetres, so microbes ferment buried organic carbon anaerobically. Two guilds compete for the same substrate (acetate / H₂): sulfate-reducing bacteria (SRB), which use sulfate as an electron acceptor, and methanogens, which cannot. Sulfate reduction yields far more free energy per mole of substrate, so whenever sulfate is available SRB outcompete methanogens for it — a textbook case of thermodynamic competitive exclusion (Oremland & Polcin 1982; Capone & Kiene 1988).
f_CH4 = 1 / (1 + [SO4^2-] / Ki) (Ki ≈ 1.0 mM, competitive inhibition)
[SO4^2-] ≈ 0.8 × salinity(ppt) (mM, seawater stoichiometry)
R_total = C_input × Q10^((T-20)/10) × flood_factor
CH4 flux = R_total × f_CH4
CO2 flux = R_total × (1 - f_CH4)
CO2-eq = CO2 flux + CH4 flux × GWP100(27)
- Salinity — sets porewater sulfate; higher salinity starves methanogens of substrate and shifts carbon toward the CO₂ pathway (purple vs orange spheres in the column, and the bubble stream at the surface).
- Organic carbon supply — the total labile carbon feeding both guilds; scales overall microbial activity and total flux magnitude.
- Sediment temperature — anaerobic metabolism roughly follows Q10 ≈ 2.5, so warming accelerates both pathways together.
- Tidal flooding — draining the marsh lets O₂ penetrate deeper, favouring aerobic respiration over both anaerobic guilds and cutting total anaerobic flux.
This is exactly why tidal (saline) wetlands — mangroves, salt marshes, seagrass beds — are prized "blue carbon" sinks: their high sulfate supply suppresses methane, so the carbon they bury delivers close to its full CO₂-removal value instead of being offset by a potent CH₄ source, unlike freshwater peatlands with the same burial rate.