Mitigation works by cutting the emissions rate itself, so its effect compounds over every year it stays in place.
delta_T ~ integral(emissions * (1 - mitigation))
- Grid resolution — how finely the regional warming field is sampled.
- Renewable adoption — share of energy demand met by low-carbon sources across the region.
- Baseline emissions — unmitigated emissions intensity driving the warming forcing.
- Mitigation policy strength — combined effect of carbon pricing, efficiency standards and phase-outs cutting net emissions.
The IPCC's mitigation pathways are exactly this kind of lever analysis — every tonne of avoided emissions bends the same warming curve you see responding here.