The top-down companion of the 3D fire lab. Same Rothermel physics module, same scenarios; here you see the predicted ellipse, the wind / slope / resultant vectors, a terrain cross-section with flames, and the spread laws as plots.
Firebreak budget: 250 cells.
Re-runs the front solver on a flat, uniform grass plain at the current wind and moisture, and compares it with the closed-form Rothermel + Anderson ellipse written out separately in this page.
The science
Rate of spread. Rothermel (1972): head-fire speed on flat ground without wind is a fuel property R0 (here an illustrative round value per fuel), reduced by fuel moisture ηM = 1 − 2.59 r + 5.11 r² − 3.52 r³, r = Mf/Mx (zero at the moisture of extinction), and increased by wind and slope: R = R0 ηM (1 + φw + φs). Wind factor φw = C (196.85 U)B (β/βop)−E with mid-flame wind U in m/s; slope factor φs = 5.275 β−0.3 tan²θ. The 10 m wind is cut to mid-flame height by a wind adjustment factor (grass 0.40, shrub 0.35, timber 0.25: typical sheltering values).
Fire shape. Wind and slope combine as vectors in φ (the arrows on the map). The equivalent effective wind gives the length-to-width ratio of Anderson (1983), L/W = 0.936 e0.2566 Ue + 0.461 e−0.1548 Ue − 0.397 (Ue in mph, capped at 8). Each burning point spreads as an ellipse with the ignition at its rear focus (Richards 1990): R(ψ) = Rhead (1 − e)/(1 − e cos ψ), e = √(1 − (W/L)²). This is also the polar equation of the dashed ellipse on the map. The real front is the envelope of all those ellipses (Huygens principle), found as minimum ignition time over the grid (Dijkstra, 32-neighbour stencil, 25 m cells). Terrain and fuel patches bend the real front away from the ideal ellipse.
Intensity and flames. Byram's fireline intensity I = H w R (H = 18 000 kJ/kg, w = fuel consumed in kg/m², R in m/s) in kW per metre of front; flame length Lf = 0.0775 I0.46 m. Above about 4 000 kW/m hand crews cannot work at the front; above 10 000 kW/m no ground attack works. In the cross-section, flames are drawn five times their computed length so they stay visible against the ridge.
Spotting. Burning cells may loft embers that land downwind. A simple seeded stochastic stand-in, not a validated ember-transport model.
What is simplified. Surface fire only (no crown fire, no fire-induced wind), one fuel per cell, uniform wind and moisture for 12 h, constant fuel loads, no suppression except your firebreak. R0, wind factors, loads and residence times are illustrative, not a calibrated fuel model: use it to understand why fires behave this way, not to predict a real fire. The terrain is the height grid of the 3D model.