Restocking policy

Restock-trigger confidence: 60%

This case study models 300 store-SKU pairs, each with a demand-surge prediction confidence score. Triggering a restock at lower confidence catches more real surges and keeps shelves full, but also restocks many SKUs that never actually surge, creating overstock and markdowns.

Week outcome

SKUs restocked—

True surges kept in stock—

Net inventory value—

Store-SKU pairs by surge-prediction confidence (pink = restocked, ring = real demand surge)