Journey generator

Removal-effect test

Model stats

Journeys simulated—
Empirical conv. rate—
Model conv. probability—
Channel under test—
Conv. prob. w/o channel—
Removal effect (drop)—
Normalized attribution—

Attribution % by channel

Empirical transition probabilities are fit from the simulated journeys. Total conversion probability is solved exactly from Start via the absorbing-Markov-chain fundamental matrix N=(I−Q)⁻¹. Each channel's removal effect is the drop in that probability when its incoming transitions are redirected to the Null state.